Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Yankees v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-12 23:11 UTC

Score final : New York Yankees 10–5 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prévision 54.83%1.82cote équitable
EV -0.217%
Avantage -0.119%
Kelly -0.264%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.33%54.73%54.83%56.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.741.741.8260.61%57.61%57.47%54.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.17%2.21cote équitable
EV -0.617%
Avantage -0.280%
Kelly -0.514%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.72%45.27%45.17%46.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.19%47.17%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : New York Yankees (Local) : 54.83% ; Seattle Mariners (Visiteur) : 45.17%. Pour New York Yankees (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.824. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.820, pour une espérance de -0.217% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -0.217%E -0.119%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -4.23%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -0.617%E -0.280%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-12 23:10
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.97%E -0.909%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.04%E -2.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 23:09
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.617%E -0.280%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 22:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.617%E -0.280%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 21:40
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.617%E -0.280%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 23:09
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.07%E -0.488%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-12 22:25
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 23:00
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 23:09
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.94%E -3.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.39%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:59
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.39%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.51%E -1.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.39%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:09
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 23:00
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:44
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.75%E -4.33%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 23:09
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.65%E -4.83%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 22:53
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.65%E -4.83%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:09
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.65%E -4.83%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.617%E -0.280%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.617%E -0.280%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 22:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 22:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:58
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.59%E -2.67%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 23:08
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.59%E -2.67%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 23:08
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.39%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.65%E -4.83%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 23:09
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.23%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.23%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 23:05
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 21:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.70%E -3.31%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.97%E -0.909%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.70%E -3.31%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.97%E -0.909%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.70%E -3.31%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.23%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:22
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:55
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:54
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:54
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 22:55
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 23:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 23:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.65%E -4.83%K -9.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 23:09
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.34%E -4.35%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.23%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.23%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 22:54
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.44%E -5.05%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 23:08
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.04%E -2.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-12 22:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-08-12 23:04
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-12 23:10
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-12 23:10
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-12 23:10
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-08-12 23:10
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-08-12 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-08-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-08-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-08-12 23:10
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%3.3%2026-08-12 23:10