默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Yankees v Pittsburgh Pirates

开赛时间: 2026-07-21 23:06 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Yankees (主队)

预测 54.40%1.84公平赔率
EV -2.08%
优势 -1.16%
Kelly -2.60%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
53.66%54.64%54.31%57.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.81%57.80%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)

预测 45.60%2.19公平赔率
EV +0.321%
优势 +0.146%
Kelly +0.267%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
42.41%45.36%45.69%46.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.132.102.2048.78%47.03%47.62%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:New York Yankees (主队):54.40%;Pittsburgh Pirates (客队):45.60%。 对于“Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.19。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.20,对应+0.321%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.0%2026-07-21 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%4.3%2026-07-21 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%4.3%2026-07-21 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%4.3%2026-07-21 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%4.3%2026-07-21 16:35
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-21 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-21 16:35
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-21 16:35
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-21 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-21 16:35
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-21 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -10.78%E -6.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.4%2026-07-21 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -10.78%E -6.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.4%2026-07-21 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -10.78%E -6.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.4%2026-07-21 16:34
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.87%E -7.33%K -19.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%7.2%2026-07-21 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.591%E -0.271%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.50%E -0.696%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-21 17:15
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 18:10
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 17:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-21 18:05
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 16:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 17:29
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.06%E -4.77%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 16:20
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 17:05
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 17:05
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.62%E -1.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-21 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 17:39
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 17:20
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 18:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 17:35
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 17:39
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 17:34
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-21 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 17:35
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 18:01
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 17:05
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.70%E -2.25%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 17:34
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 18:10
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 18:10
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 18:05
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 18:08
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 18:05
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 17:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-07-21 18:05
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-21 17:40
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-21 17:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-21 16:20
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-21 17:55
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-07-21 16:20
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-07-21 18:00