La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inicio: 2026-07-21 23:06 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 54.40%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -2.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%54.64%54.31%57.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.81%57.80%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 45.60%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.321%
Ventaja +0.146%
Kelly +0.267%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.41%45.36%45.69%46.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.132.102.2048.78%47.03%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.0%2026-07-21 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%4.3%2026-07-21 16:35
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%4.3%2026-07-21 16:35
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%4.3%2026-07-21 16:35
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%4.3%2026-07-21 16:35
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-21 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-21 16:35
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-21 16:35
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-21 16:35
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-21 16:35
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.24%E -6.21%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-21 16:35
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -10.78%E -6.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.4%2026-07-21 16:35
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -10.78%E -6.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.4%2026-07-21 16:35
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -10.78%E -6.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%6.4%2026-07-21 16:34
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.87%E -7.33%K -19.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.321%E +0.146%K +0.267%G +0.001%7.2%2026-07-21 16:35
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.591%E -0.271%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 16:20
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.50%E -0.696%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-21 17:15
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 18:10
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 17:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-21 18:05
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 16:20
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 16:20
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 16:19
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 17:29
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.06%E -4.77%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 16:20
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 17:05
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 17:10
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 17:05
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 17:05
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.62%E -1.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-21 17:35
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 17:39
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 17:20
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 18:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 17:35
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 17:39
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 17:34
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-21 17:09
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 17:35
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 17:05
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 18:01
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 17:05
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:10
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 18:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 17:35
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.70%E -2.25%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 17:34
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 18:10
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 17:35
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 18:10
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 18:10
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 17:35
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 18:05
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 18:08
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 18:05
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 18:05
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 17:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-07-21 18:05
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-07-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-21 17:40
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-21 17:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-21 16:20
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-21 17:55
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-07-21 16:20
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-07-21 18:00