La scuola delle quote

New York Yankees v Kansas City Royals

Inizio: 2026-04-19 20:21 UTC

Finale: New York Yankees 7–0 Kansas City Royals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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40 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

New York Yankees (Casa)

Previsione 58.04%1.72quota equa
EV -1.91%
Vantaggio -1.13%
Kelly -2.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.11%58.07%58.03%59.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.541.621.651.6964.94%61.72%60.79%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kansas City Royals (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.96%2.38quota equa
EV -1.40%
Vantaggio -0.594%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.05%41.93%41.97%44.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.282.302.3548.78%43.79%43.48%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -2.65%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 19:10
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.49%E -1.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 20:05
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.49%E -1.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.23%E -0.959%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.49%E -1.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.23%E -0.959%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 20:05
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.49%E -1.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.65%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-19 20:05
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.07%E -1.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 15:35
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.07%E -1.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:04
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.07%E -1.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.07%E -1.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.07%E -1.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -13.98%E -6.82%K -13.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 20:20
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.65%E -2.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 19:05
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -3.65%E -2.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -6.01%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 19:25
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.65%E -2.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.43%E -2.88%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 19:24
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -3.65%E -2.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -8.95%E -4.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 20:20
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.23%E -2.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 14:29
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.23%E -2.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.91%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:13
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.23%E -2.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:55
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.23%E -2.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 07:10
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.23%E -2.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 07:10
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.23%E -2.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 23:04
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.81%E -2.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 07:09
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.97%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.01%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 20:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 08:04
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 15:09
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.72%E -4.85%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 20:20
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:20
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:20
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:20
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:20
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:20
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 20:20
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 20:20
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.46%E -6.06%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 20:20
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.46%E -6.06%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 20:20
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.46%E -6.06%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 20:20
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.46%E -6.06%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 20:20
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.04%E -6.48%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -10.62%E -6.89%K -19.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 20:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-19 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-19 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-19 20:20
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 58.22%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.78%10.8%2026-04-19 20:20