L’École des cotes

New York Yankees v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 20:21 UTC

Score final : New York Yankees 7–0 Kansas City Royals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Prévision 58.04%1.72cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -2.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.11%58.07%58.03%59.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.621.651.6964.94%61.72%60.79%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.96%2.38cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.594%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.05%41.93%41.97%44.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.282.302.3548.78%43.79%43.48%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -2.65%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 19:10
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.49%E -1.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 20:05
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.49%E -1.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.23%E -0.959%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.49%E -1.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.23%E -0.959%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 20:05
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.49%E -1.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.65%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-19 20:05
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.07%E -1.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 15:35
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.07%E -1.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:04
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.07%E -1.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.07%E -1.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.07%E -1.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -13.98%E -6.82%K -13.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 20:20
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.65%E -2.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 19:05
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -3.65%E -2.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -6.01%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 19:25
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.65%E -2.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.43%E -2.88%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 19:24
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -3.65%E -2.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -8.95%E -4.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 20:20
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.23%E -2.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 14:29
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.23%E -2.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.91%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:13
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.23%E -2.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:55
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.23%E -2.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 07:10
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.23%E -2.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 07:10
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.23%E -2.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 23:04
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.81%E -2.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 07:09
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.97%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.01%E -2.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 20:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 08:04
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 15:09
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.72%E -4.85%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 20:20
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:20
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:20
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:20
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:20
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.40%E -0.594%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 20:20
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 20:20
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.88%E -5.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 20:20
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.46%E -6.06%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 20:20
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.46%E -6.06%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 20:20
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.46%E -6.06%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 20:20
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.46%E -6.06%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 20:20
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.04%E -6.48%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -10.62%E -6.89%K -19.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.59%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 20:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-19 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-19 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-19 20:20
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 58.22%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.78%10.8%2026-04-19 20:20