Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees v Detroit Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-06-29 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 3–7 Detroit Tigers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 55.75%1.79fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.745%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%55.80%55.73%57.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.41%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 44.25%2.26fair odd
EV +1.77%
Edge +0.770%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.61%44.20%44.27%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.172.162.3048.08%46.19%46.30%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 55.75%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 44.25%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +1.77%E +0.770%K +1.36%G +0.024%2.0%2026-06-29 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +1.33%E +0.580%K +1.03%G +0.014%2.5%2026-06-29 23:00
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.33%E -0.595%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-29 23:00
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.33%E -0.595%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-29 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.88%E -1.07%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.77%E -0.797%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-29 23:00
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.78%E -3.42%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.77%E -0.797%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.21%E -1.00%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-29 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.21%E -1.00%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-29 23:00
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.78%E -3.42%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.21%E -1.00%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 23:00
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 22:59
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 20:00
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.32%E -0.745%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-29 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 21:10
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 20:00
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 20:00
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 20:00
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 20:00
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 19:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 20:00
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 20:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 22:50
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 22:51
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 20:20
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 20:00
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 23:00
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 20:00
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 22:59
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 21:50
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.78%E -3.42%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 20:40
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 21:10
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 21:20
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 17:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 23:00
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.96%E -3.83%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-29 22:51
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-29 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-29 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-29 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-29 23:00
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-29 22:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-29 23:00
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-29 23:00
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-06-29 23:00
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%3.9%2026-06-29 22:51