Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.54
assuming max odds 2.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 63.98%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 36.02%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.852%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.23%E -4.98%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.852%E +0.304%K +0.473%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%EV -3.39%E -2.24%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%EV -0.589%E -0.213%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%EV -3.39%E -2.24%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%EV -0.589%E -0.213%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%EV -3.39%E -2.24%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%EV -0.589%E -0.213%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.949%E -0.345%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-20 14:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.949%E -0.345%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-20 16:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.949%E -0.345%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-20 17:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -2.75%E -1.81%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -1.31%E -0.478%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-20 17:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.67%E -3.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.03%E -0.746%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.47%E -0.954%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.75%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-20 17:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.11%E -1.38%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.75%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-20 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.39%E -2.24%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.75%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.75%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.75%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-20 16:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.75%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -2.11%E -1.38%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -3.11%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.75%E -1.81%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.47%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-20 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.83%E -1.43%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 15:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.39%E -2.24%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -4.19%E -1.58%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-20 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -4.19%E -1.58%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-20 17:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 17:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 17:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.67%E -3.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.67%E -3.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.67%E -3.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.67%E -3.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.67%E -3.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.67%E -3.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.67%E -3.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.67%E -3.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 15:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.95%E -4.05%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.95%E -4.05%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.95%E -4.05%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 15:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.59%E -4.51%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 15:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.91%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-20 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.95%E -4.05%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.27%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.63%E -2.15%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 17:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.63%E -2.15%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -4.67%E -3.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -5.63%E -2.15%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.87%E -5.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.63%E -2.15%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 15:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.35%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 15:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.35%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.67%E -3.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.35%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.35%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.95%E -4.05%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.35%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-20 15:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.15%E -3.20%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.59%E -4.51%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.15%E -3.20%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-20 17:07 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.23%E -4.98%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.15%E -3.20%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-20 17:28 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-06-20 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-06-20 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-06-20 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-06-20 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 17:19 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-06-20 16:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-06-20 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-06-20 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73% | 2.8% | 2026-06-20 17:10 |