Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-06-05 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 3–5 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 56.46%1.77odd justa
EV -0.059%
Vantagem -0.033%
Kelly -0.076%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.33%56.39%56.44%57.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.691.7761.73%59.16%59.17%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 43.54%2.30odd justa
EV -0.738%
Vantagem -0.324%
Kelly -0.577%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.41%43.61%43.56%46.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.202.202.2850.00%45.43%45.45%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 56.46%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 43.54%. Para New York Yankees (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.771. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.770, com valor esperado de -0.059%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -0.059%E -0.033%K -0.076%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.75%E -5.24%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.19%E -0.679%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.93%E -6.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-05 22:55
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-05 23:00
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-05 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.35%E -1.51%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-05 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.35%E -1.51%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-05 22:49
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.32%E -1.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.17%E -0.517%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 21:09
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.32%E -1.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.61%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-05 18:09
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.88%E -1.68%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 22:59
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.45%E -2.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 22:59
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.45%E -2.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 19:38
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.45%E -2.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 22:59
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.45%E -2.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.09%E -2.34%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 21:38
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.738%E -0.324%K -0.577%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.35%E -1.51%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 19:49
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 21:39
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 19:39
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.66%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 22:59
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 21:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 19:59
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 19:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-04 21:39
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-05 12:10
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.35%E -1.51%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 21:39
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 01:30
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.66%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 19:39
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.09%E -2.34%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 19:58
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.96%E -2.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-05 22:29
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.96%E -2.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-05 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 11:09
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 21:49
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 02:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.66%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 19:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 22:39
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:10
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:09
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:09
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:09
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:09
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:09
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:39
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.27%E -3.78%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.27%E -3.78%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.27%E -3.78%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:10
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.27%E -3.78%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.27%E -3.78%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-05 19:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.83%E -4.14%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 06:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.83%E -4.14%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.14%E -3.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-05 22:58
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.53%E -5.26%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-05 20:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-05 23:00
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-05 23:00
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-05 22:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-05 22:50
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-05 22:50
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-06-05 23:00
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%3.4%2026-06-05 22:49