La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-06-05 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 3–5 Boston Red Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 56.46%1.77momio equitativo
EV -0.059%
Ventaja -0.033%
Kelly -0.076%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.33%56.39%56.44%57.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.691.7761.73%59.16%59.17%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 43.54%2.30momio equitativo
EV -0.738%
Ventaja -0.324%
Kelly -0.577%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.41%43.61%43.56%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.202.202.2850.00%45.43%45.45%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -0.059%E -0.033%K -0.076%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.75%E -5.24%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 22:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.19%E -0.679%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.93%E -6.46%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-05 22:55
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 22:50
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-05 23:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-05 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.35%E -1.51%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-05 22:50
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.35%E -1.51%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-05 22:49
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.32%E -1.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.17%E -0.517%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-05 21:09
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.32%E -1.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.61%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-05 18:09
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.88%E -1.68%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 22:59
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.45%E -2.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 22:59
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.45%E -2.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 19:38
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.45%E -2.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 22:59
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.45%E -2.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.09%E -2.34%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 21:38
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.738%E -0.324%K -0.577%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 22:39
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.35%E -1.51%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 19:49
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 21:39
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 19:39
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.66%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 22:59
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 21:39
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 19:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 19:59
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-04 21:39
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-05 12:10
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.35%E -1.51%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 21:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 01:30
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.66%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 19:39
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.09%E -2.34%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 19:58
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.96%E -2.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-05 22:29
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.58%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.96%E -2.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-05 22:30
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 11:09
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 21:49
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 02:39
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.66%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 19:39
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 22:39
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:10
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:09
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:09
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:09
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:09
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:10
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 22:09
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:39
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:39
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:39
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 22:40
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.27%E -3.78%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.27%E -3.78%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:10
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.27%E -3.78%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:10
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.27%E -3.78%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.27%E -3.78%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-05 19:39
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.83%E -4.14%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 06:39
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.83%E -4.14%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.14%E -3.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-05 22:58
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.53%E -5.26%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-05 20:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-05 23:00
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-05 23:00
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-05 22:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-05 22:50
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-05 22:50
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-06-05 23:00
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%3.4%2026-06-05 22:49