Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-08-29 23:16 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 9–2 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 57.07%1.75odd justa
EV -0.703%
Vantagem -0.404%
Kelly -0.950%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.69%57.09%57.11%58.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.45%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 42.93%2.33odd justa
EV -1.25%
Vantagem -0.546%
Kelly -0.965%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.77%42.91%42.89%45.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.212.202.3047.62%45.20%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 57.07%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 42.93%. Para New York Yankees (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.75. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.74, com valor esperado de -0.703%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.703%E -0.404%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.83%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 22:20
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.703%E -0.404%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.84%E -4.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:15
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.27%E -0.736%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -3.83%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -1.84%E -1.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -4.26%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -1.84%E -1.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -4.26%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -1.84%E -1.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -4.69%E -2.11%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 22:30
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.42%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.25%E -0.546%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.42%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.25%E -0.546%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 21:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.42%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.25%E -0.546%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 22:59
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.42%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.25%E -0.546%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 23:14
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.42%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.25%E -0.546%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 23:15
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.42%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.68%E -0.735%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.42%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.54%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.42%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.54%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.42%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.97%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 22:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -5.12%E -2.32%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 22:35
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.41%E -2.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.41%E -2.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 23:05
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.41%E -2.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 23:05
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.41%E -2.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.41%E -2.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.41%E -2.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 23:05
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 22:35
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 21:20
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 23:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.84%E -3.15%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 22:14
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.83%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 21:20
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 23:15
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 23:14
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 21:19
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.41%E -2.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 21:15
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.41%E -2.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 21:14
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.13%E -2.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.41%E -2.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 23:15
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 23:15
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 23:15
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 21:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 21:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 20:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.69%E -3.58%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.17%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.26%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.27%E -3.17%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.25%E -0.546%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.98%E -4.24%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.41%E -3.91%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -6.41%E -3.91%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -8.55%E -4.02%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 22:50
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.84%E -4.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 23:05
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 21:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 23:10
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 23:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-08-29 23:14
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-29 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-29 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-29 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-29 23:15
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-29 23:15
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-29 20:10
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-29 20:40
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-29 23:00
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-29 23:15