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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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New York Yankees v Boston Red Sox

2026-08-29 23:16 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 54.27%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.25%54.28%54.26%54.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.10%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 45.73%2.19momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -0.778%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.03%45.72%45.74%46.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.082.082.1550.00%48.10%48.08%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: New York Yankees (Local): 54.27%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 45.73%. Para Boston Red Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.19. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.15, con un valor esperado de -1.67%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.67%E -0.778%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 04:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.67%E -0.778%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 07:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 09:50
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 04:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 04:00
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 04:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 04:15
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 09:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 09:00
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:15
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:25
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.42%E -2.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 05:15
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.42%E -2.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 09:30
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 09:00
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 09:00
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 09:01
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 09:00
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.33%E -2.58%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 06:50
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.33%E -2.58%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 06:46
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 09:15
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 09:13
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 09:35
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 03:58
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 04:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:54
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 09:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 09:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 04:00
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.88%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 04:04
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.58%E -3.20%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 09:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.58%E -3.20%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.79%E -2.81%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 04:04
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.58%E -3.20%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 04:05
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.58%E -3.20%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 04:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.58%E -3.20%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 05:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 04:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 04:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 04:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 04:06
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 04:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 04:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 05:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.53%E -4.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 05:20
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.53%E -4.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 05:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-08-29 09:40
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-29 10:00
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-29 04:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%2.7%2026-08-29 06:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%2.7%2026-08-29 06:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%3.7%2026-08-29 06:25
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%4.6%2026-08-29 09:30
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%10.0%2026-08-29 04:00