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New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 52.19%1.92fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.998%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.70%52.25%52.20%54.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.821.8857.80%54.96%54.95%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 47.81%2.09fair odd
EV -0.563%
Edge -0.271%
Kelly -0.521%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%47.75%47.80%48.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.042.0851.28%49.45%49.02%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 52.19%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 47.81%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.08, with an expected value of -0.563%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.88%E -0.998%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.00%E -0.974%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.00%E -0.974%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.00%E -0.974%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-27 13:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-27 13:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.04%E -0.503%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-27 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-27 20:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 16:22 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.87%E -2.45%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.00%E -0.974%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.00%E -0.974%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.00%E -0.974%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.00%E -0.974%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-27 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.57%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.43%E -1.70%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.563%E -0.271%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -9.70%E -5.61%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -6.30%E -3.21%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-09-27 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-09-27 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-09-27 17:20 |