Language:English
New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV +0.000%
Edge +0.000%
Kelly +0.000%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.85%49.90%50.00%51.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.902.0055.56%52.60%52.63%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.91%50.10%50.00%51.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.911.9655.56%52.31%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 50.00%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 50.00%. For New York Yankees (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of 0.000%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-25 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-25 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-25 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-25 23:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-25 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-25 23:13 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 23:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 21:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-25 23:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-25 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-25 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 19:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-25 23:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -8.00%E -4.35%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -8.00%E -4.35%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-09-25 23:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74% | 3.1% | 2026-09-25 23:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22% | 4.2% | 2026-09-25 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 23:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-25 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-25 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-25 23:10 |