Language:English
New York Yankees v Atlanta Braves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 56.44%1.77fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.699%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%56.26%56.59%57.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.681.681.7562.11%59.49%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Braves (Visit)
Prediction 43.56%2.30fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.453%
Kelly +0.796%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.29%43.74%43.41%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.3250.00%45.76%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 56.44%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 43.56%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV +1.05%E +0.453%K +0.796%G +0.008% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV +0.616%E +0.267%K +0.470%G +0.003% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.180%E +0.078%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 05:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.35%E -1.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.56%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.35%E -1.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.56%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.56%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.56%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 15:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.87%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.74%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 12:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 07:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 08:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 09:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 09:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 04:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 04:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 04:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 04:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.61%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.05%E -2.32%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.05%E -2.32%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -5.48%E -2.53%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -5.48%E -2.53%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:38 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.35%E -2.96%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.22%E -0.699%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.79%E -3.17%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -8.00%E -4.91%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -6.79%E -3.17%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -9.13%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -9.40%E -4.52%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 17:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 17:37 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -12.89%E -6.44%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14% | -0.1% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |