默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets v Washington Nationals

开赛时间: 2026-08-14 23:11 UTC

最终结果: New York Mets 4–1 Washington Nationals

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets (主队)

预测 52.32%1.91公平赔率
EV -1.64%
优势 -0.874%
Kelly -1.87%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布
51.05%52.32%52.28%53.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.831.821.8857.14%54.79%54.95%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Washington Nationals (客队)

预测 47.68%2.10公平赔率
EV -1.77%
优势 -0.861%
Kelly -1.67%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.06

博彩公司预测分布
46.34%47.68%47.72%48.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.012.012.0652.63%49.85%49.75%48.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:New York Mets (主队):52.32%;Washington Nationals (客队):47.68%。 对于“New York Mets (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.91。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.88,期望值为-1.64%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -1.64%E -0.874%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.77%E -0.861%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-14 19:09
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -1.64%E -0.874%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.77%E -0.861%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-14 22:50
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.64%E -0.874%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 16:19
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.64%E -0.874%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-14 23:09
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 22:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 05:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 22:25
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 22:34
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 20:20
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.77%E -0.861%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 12:34
Caesars🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.77%E -0.861%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 22:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -5.11%E -2.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 22:29
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 08:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 12:34
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 23:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.74%E -2.03%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 21:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.74%E -2.03%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.54%E -3.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.77%E -0.861%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 23:04
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 21:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 21:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 20:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 20:44
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 21:04
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 05:19
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 20:24
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 08:19
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 08:24
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 23:09
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 22:19
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 21:10
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 21:09
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 21:10
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 21:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 21:10
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 06:04
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.11%E -2.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 16:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.50%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 23:09
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 12:34
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 22:14
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 22:19
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:19
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 05:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 05:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 05:24
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 04:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 20:42
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 23:03
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.35%E -3.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 21:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.35%E -3.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 21:09
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 09:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.50%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 22:43
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.44%E -4.83%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 21:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%0.2%2026-08-14 23:10
BetOpenly◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.62%0.5%2026-08-14 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-14 23:10
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-14 21:44
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-14 23:10
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-14 06:20
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-08-14 23:10
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-08-14 22:20