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New York Mets v Washington Nationals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Mets (Local)
Predicción 52.32%1.91momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.874%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%52.32%52.28%53.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.831.821.8857.14%54.79%54.95%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Nationals (Visitante)
Predicción 47.68%2.10momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.861%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.34%47.68%47.72%48.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.012.012.0652.63%49.85%49.75%48.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Mets (Local): 52.32%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 47.68%. Para New York Mets (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.91. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.88, con un valor esperado de -1.64%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -1.64%E -0.874%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.77%E -0.861%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 19:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -1.64%E -0.874%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.77%E -0.861%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.64%E -0.874%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.64%E -0.874%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-14 05:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 22:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.77%E -0.861%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.77%E -0.861%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -5.11%E -2.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 08:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.74%E -2.03%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 21:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.74%E -2.03%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.54%E -3.34%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.77%E -0.861%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-14 21:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-14 21:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 21:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 05:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 20:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 08:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 08:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 22:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 21:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 21:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 21:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 21:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 21:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 06:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.11%E -2.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.50%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 05:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 05:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 05:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 04:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 20:42 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 23:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 23:03 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.35%E -3.55%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 21:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.35%E -3.55%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 21:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 09:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.50%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 22:43 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.44%E -4.83%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 21:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.62% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 21:44 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 06:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 22:20 |