Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-06-09 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 0–7 St. Louis Cardinals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 54.29%1.84fair odd
EV -0.640%
Edge -0.350%
Kelly -0.772%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.25%54.26%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.751.8358.82%56.97%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 45.71%2.19fair odd
EV -0.820%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.701%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%45.75%45.74%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1750.00%47.66%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 54.29%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 45.71%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -0.640%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-09 00:09
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.73%E -0.807%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 21:19
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.73%E -0.807%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.65%E -1.24%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-09 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.65%E -1.24%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-09 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-09 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.30%E -3.08%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.30%E -3.08%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.81%E -1.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.820%E -0.378%K -0.701%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-09 22:59
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.81%E -1.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.28%E -0.591%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-09 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.36%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -1.28%E -0.591%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-09 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -3.36%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-09 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.36%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-09 23:09
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.36%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.39%E -2.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-09 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.36%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.76%E -3.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 23:59
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 17:19
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 19:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 21:09
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 14:26
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.93%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 23:08
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.39%E -2.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 21:29
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.39%E -2.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.30%E -3.08%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 21:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 21:39
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:29
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:30
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:30
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 20:29
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 20:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 20:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 20:39
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.93%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 17:19
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.93%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 21:29
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.59%E -4.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 22:58
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.65%E -1.24%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 21:39
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 21:39
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 21:39
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 21:39
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 21:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 21:39
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 21:39
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 22:39
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.30%E -3.08%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 23:09
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.30%E -3.08%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:59
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 20:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 20:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 21:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 20:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 20:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 21:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 21:39
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 21:39
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 21:39
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.30%E -3.08%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-09 20:49
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.16%E -4.18%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -4.93%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-09 21:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 18:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -7.22%E -3.56%K -7.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-09 22:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-09 23:09
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-09 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-09 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-09 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-09 22:50
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-09 18:49
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-09 19:59
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-09 23:10
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-06-09 23:09
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-06-09 22:59