Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.66
assuming max odds 2.58
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 60.30%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 39.70%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.44%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV +2.44%E +0.944%K +1.54%G +0.038% | 2.1% | 2026-09-06 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV +1.64%E +0.641%K +1.05%G +0.017% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV +0.847%E +0.334%K +0.550%G +0.005% | 2.7% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.344%E -0.137%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.741%E -0.296%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 17:38 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.741%E -0.296%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-06 15:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.14%E -0.457%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-06 17:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.53%E -0.619%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.53%E -0.619%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.33%E -0.947%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -2.33%E -0.947%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:33 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 15:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 16:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV +0.092%E +0.055%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -5.11%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-06 15:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.11%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.75%E -5.06%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.90%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.90%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.90%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 15:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.92%E -1.82%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 16:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.13%E -2.60%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -7.49%E -3.21%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 16:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.11%E -0.679%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 15:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 02:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.53%E -2.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 16:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.75%E -5.06%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 0.2% | 2026-09-06 17:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 15:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |