默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets v San Francisco Giants

开赛时间: 2026-09-04 23:11 UTC

最终结果: New York Mets 10–6 San Francisco Giants

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets (主队)

预测 62.76%1.59公平赔率
EV -1.47%
优势 -0.938%
Kelly -2.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布
61.25%62.70%62.93%65.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.521.521.5769.44%65.82%65.57%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Francisco Giants (客队)

预测 37.24%2.69公平赔率
EV +0.558%
优势 +0.207%
Kelly +0.328%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
34.78%37.30%37.07%38.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.562.562.7041.67%38.99%39.06%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:New York Mets (主队):62.76%;San Francisco Giants (客队):37.24%。 对于“San Francisco Giants (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.69。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.70,对应+0.558%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -9.63%E -6.69%K -21.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +0.558%E +0.207%K +0.328%G +0.002%6.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -0.559%E -0.210%K -0.335%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-04 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -0.932%E -0.350%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 13:29
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -1.30%E -0.492%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-04 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.68%E -0.635%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.68%E -0.635%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:49
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:50
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:50
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:50
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:50
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -2.42%E -0.924%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-04 14:00
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.47%E -0.938%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.79%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-04 10:00
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 12:17
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:00
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 09:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 09:59
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 03:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 02:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 05:04
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.12%E -4.81%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.12%E -4.81%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:49
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.61%E -3.03%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.54%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:18
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.54%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:14
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.61%E -3.03%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.91%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -4.28%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 07:00
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 11:15
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 03:30
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 05:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.61%E -3.03%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 03:28
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 18:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 03:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 03:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 03:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 05:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.61%E -3.03%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.77%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:00
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.15%E -2.44%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 21:49
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 11:49
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 00:34
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:25
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:49
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 05:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.61%E -3.03%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 03:29
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 18:24
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 20:45
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.63%E -6.69%K -21.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.64%E -3.08%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:20
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.64%E -3.08%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:50
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 11:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.49%E -4.36%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.62%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 23:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34%0.1%2026-09-04 14:20
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-04 14:00
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-04 01:40
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-04 03:05
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-04 12:25
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%2.5%2026-09-04 14:25