Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

New York Mets v San Francisco Giants

Начало: 2026-09-04 23:11 UTC

Итог: New York Mets 10–6 San Francisco Giants

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

66 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

New York Mets (Хозяева)

Прогноз 62.76%1.59справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.47%
Преимущество -0.938%
Kelly -2.58%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.57

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
61.25%62.70%62.93%65.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.441.521.521.5769.44%65.82%65.57%63.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

San Francisco Giants (Гости)

Прогноз 37.24%2.69справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.558%
Преимущество +0.207%
Kelly +0.328%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.78%37.30%37.07%38.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.562.562.7041.67%38.99%39.06%37.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: New York Mets (Хозяева): 62.76%; San Francisco Giants (Гости): 37.24%. Для исхода «San Francisco Giants (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.69. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.70, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.558%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -9.63%E -6.69%K -21.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +0.558%E +0.207%K +0.328%G +0.002%6.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -0.559%E -0.210%K -0.335%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-04 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -0.932%E -0.350%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 13:29
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -1.30%E -0.492%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-04 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.68%E -0.635%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -1.68%E -0.635%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:49
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:50
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:50
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:50
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.05%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 11:50
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -2.42%E -0.924%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-04 14:00
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.47%E -0.938%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.79%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-04 10:00
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.10%E -1.35%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 12:17
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:00
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 09:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 09:59
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 03:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 02:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 05:04
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.12%E -4.81%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.12%E -4.81%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:49
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.61%E -3.03%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.54%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:18
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.54%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:14
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.61%E -3.03%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.91%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -4.28%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 07:00
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 11:15
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 03:30
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 05:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.61%E -3.03%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 03:28
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 18:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 03:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 03:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 03:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 05:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.61%E -3.03%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.77%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:00
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.15%E -2.44%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 21:49
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 11:49
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 00:34
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:25
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:49
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.98%E -2.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 05:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.61%E -3.03%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.24%E -3.47%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 03:29
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 18:24
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 20:45
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.63%E -6.69%K -21.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.89%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.64%E -3.08%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:20
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.64%E -3.08%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:50
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.75%E -3.57%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 11:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.49%E -4.36%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.62%E -4.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 23:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (10)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34%0.1%2026-09-04 14:20
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-04 14:00
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-04 01:40
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-04 03:05
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-04 12:25
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%2.5%2026-09-04 14:25