Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-03-28 20:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 59.05%1.69odd justa
EV -1.39%
Vantagem -0.831%
Kelly -2.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.84%58.95%59.04%60.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.72%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 40.95%2.44odd justa
EV -0.900%
Vantagem -0.372%
Kelly -0.634%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.75%41.05%40.96%42.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.322.332.4245.45%43.01%42.92%41.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 59.05%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 40.95%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.44. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.42, com valor esperado de -0.900%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.39%E -0.831%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 19:10
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.98%E -1.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.13%E -0.891%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-28 00:00
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.900%E -0.372%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-28 02:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.72%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-28 02:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.72%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-28 02:50
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.13%E -0.891%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 00:05
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-28 02:50
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 21:35
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 21:35
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 21:34
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.16%E -1.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.86%E -3.49%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 21:35
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.16%E -1.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.86%E -3.49%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.75%E -2.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.75%E -2.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 18:44
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:59
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:45
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:40
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:55
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:59
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 22:05
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 01:30
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 01:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.99%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.99%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.99%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 22:00
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.11%E -3.84%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.99%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.29%E -4.64%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.88%E -5.05%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 22:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.47%E -5.47%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.47%E -5.47%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-03-28 03:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-27 18:20
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-03-27 23:55
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-03-28 02:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-03-28 01:30
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%2.4%2026-03-28 02:39
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%8.7%2026-03-28 03:05