L’École des cotes

New York Mets v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 20:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 59.05%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.831%
Kelly -2.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.84%58.95%59.04%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.72%61.73%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.95%2.44cote équitable
EV -0.900%
Avantage -0.372%
Kelly -0.634%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%41.05%40.96%42.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.322.332.4245.45%43.01%42.92%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.39%E -0.831%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 19:10
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.98%E -1.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.13%E -0.891%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-28 00:00
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.900%E -0.372%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-28 02:50
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.72%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-28 02:50
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.72%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-28 02:50
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.13%E -0.891%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 00:05
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-28 02:50
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 21:35
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 21:35
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 21:34
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.16%E -1.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.86%E -3.49%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 21:35
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.16%E -1.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.86%E -3.49%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 21:35
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.75%E -2.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 18:40
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.75%E -2.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 18:45
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 18:40
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 18:44
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:00
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:34
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:24
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:59
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:45
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:45
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:45
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:45
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 18:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:14
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:40
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:55
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:59
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 22:00
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 22:05
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 01:30
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 01:30
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.99%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:55
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.99%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.99%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 22:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 22:05
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 22:00
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.11%E -3.84%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.99%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 18:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.29%E -4.64%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.88%E -5.05%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 22:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.47%E -5.47%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.47%E -5.47%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.91%E -4.50%K -8.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-03-28 03:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-27 18:20
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-03-27 23:55
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-03-28 02:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-03-28 01:30
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%2.4%2026-03-28 02:39
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%8.7%2026-03-28 03:05