Language:English
New York Mets v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 54.15%1.85fair odd
EV -0.899%
Edge -0.491%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.95%54.23%54.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.761.751.8359.52%56.80%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 45.85%2.18fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.665%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.08%46.05%45.77%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.102.1551.28%48.07%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 54.15%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 45.85%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -0.899%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.899%E -0.491%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-17 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.899%E -0.491%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.98%E -1.10%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.35%E -1.10%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-17 22:46 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.98%E -1.10%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-17 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-17 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.35%E -1.10%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-17 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.35%E -1.10%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-17 21:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-17 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-17 22:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-17 23:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-17 23:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 23:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.56%E -2.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-17 23:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-17 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.22%E -4.66%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-17 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-17 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-17 14:11 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-17 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 21:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.69%E -2.66%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-17 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.69%E -2.66%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.18%E -2.00%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-17 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.69%E -2.66%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.10%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 12:57 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.69%E -2.66%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.10%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 12:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 23:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 23:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 23:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 20:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 23:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 23:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 23:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 23:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.31%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 12:06 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.31%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.31%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.31%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 12:06 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.31%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 02:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.31%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.31%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-17 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.86%E -3.99%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.86%E -3.99%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 23:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.40%E -4.33%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.39%E -3.66%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-17 22:48 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -9.02%E -5.37%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -6.47%E -3.17%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -9.02%E -5.37%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-17 23:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52% | 0.3% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 0.6% | 2026-09-17 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-09-17 21:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 2.4% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 2.4% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 2.5% | 2026-09-17 22:59 |