Language:English
New York Mets v Minnesota Twins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 51.14%1.96fair odd
EV -0.280%
Edge -0.143%
Kelly -0.294%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%51.02%51.06%52.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.05%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Twins (Visit)
Prediction 48.86%2.05fair odd
EV -0.812%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.788%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.75%48.98%48.94%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.922.0353.48%51.67%52.08%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 51.14%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 48.86%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -0.280%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.280%E -0.143%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.63%E -4.61%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -0.791%E -0.408%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -5.70%E -2.95%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.30%E -0.675%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.25%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.30%E -0.675%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.30%E -0.675%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -1.81%E -0.945%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.65%E -4.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -1.81%E -0.945%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.65%E -4.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -1.81%E -0.945%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.65%E -4.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -1.81%E -0.945%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.65%E -4.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:08 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -1.81%E -0.945%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.65%E -4.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -1.81%E -0.945%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.65%E -4.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -1.81%E -0.945%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.65%E -4.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -1.81%E -0.945%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.65%E -4.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -1.81%E -0.945%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.65%E -4.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -1.81%E -0.945%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.65%E -4.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -1.81%E -0.945%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -8.14%E -4.33%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -1.81%E -0.945%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -8.14%E -4.33%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.33%E -1.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.79%E -0.890%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.33%E -1.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.63%E -4.61%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -0.812%E -0.400%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.16%E -3.77%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.84%E -1.49%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.16%E -3.77%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.35%E -1.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.30%E -0.644%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.35%E -1.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.23%E -2.16%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.812%E -0.400%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.812%E -0.400%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.812%E -0.400%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.74%E -1.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 22:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.25%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.88%E -2.62%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.23%E -2.16%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 23:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.88%E -2.62%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.88%E -2.62%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.39%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.25%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 23:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.39%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.39%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.39%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.90%E -3.21%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -5.90%E -3.21%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.16%E -3.77%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.74%E -1.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25% | 0.1% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 23:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 21:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |