Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 3–2 Milwaukee Brewers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 40.05%2.50fair odd
EV +0.121%
Edge +0.049%
Kelly +0.081%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.12%40.05%40.03%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.372.352.5044.84%42.20%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 59.95%1.67fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.655%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%59.95%59.97%61.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.40%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 40.05%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 59.95%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.497. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.121%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.121%E +0.049%K +0.081%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.88%E -1.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-25 22:14
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV +0.121%E +0.049%K +0.081%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.48%E -2.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 23:09
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.121%E +0.049%K +0.081%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.67%E -4.98%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 23:09
theScore Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.279%E -0.112%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.68%E -2.94%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-25 16:29
DraftKings🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%EV -0.680%E -0.274%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%EV -2.28%E -1.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-25 23:04
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -0.680%E -0.274%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-25 23:09
Caesars🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV -1.08%E -0.437%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-25 18:08
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -1.48%E -0.602%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.88%E -1.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-25 22:59
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -1.48%E -0.602%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.88%E -1.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-25 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -1.48%E -0.602%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.88%E -1.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-25 22:54
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.88%E -0.768%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.88%E -1.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-25 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.28%E -0.935%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 22:30
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.08%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.88%E -3.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:09
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.08%E -0.655%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 20:59
BetUS🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -2.28%E -1.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-25 19:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.48%E -2.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 17:42
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 21:13
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 11:34
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 21:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.68%E -2.94%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 11:19
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.68%E -2.94%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 13:54
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.88%E -3.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.88%E -3.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.88%E -3.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.08%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 06:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.88%E -1.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-25 23:09
Bet Right🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 11:29
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.88%E -3.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 11:23
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.27%E -5.41%K -15.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 23:04
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.08%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.68%E -2.94%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:59
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-25 21:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-25 21:24
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.88%E -1.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.88%E -1.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 13:54
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.48%E -2.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 18:45
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 10:09
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.28%E -3.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.28%E -3.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 11:19
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.88%E -3.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 23:09
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.89%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.88%E -3.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.29%E -2.69%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 20:54
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.69%E -2.87%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.48%E -2.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 20:49
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.69%E -2.87%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.48%E -2.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -7.09%E -3.05%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 20:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -7.09%E -3.05%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 20:54
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.89%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.28%E -1.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 20:49
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.89%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.28%E -1.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.89%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.28%E -1.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 20:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.89%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.28%E -1.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 20:49
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.89%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.28%E -1.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 20:48
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.89%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.28%E -1.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 20:49
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.89%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.88%E -1.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 20:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.89%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.28%E -3.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:23
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.89%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.08%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 22:59
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.89%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.08%E -4.56%K -12.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 22:58
Betclic (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.29%E -3.62%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-25 22:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.69%E -3.81%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.69%E -3.81%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 20:53
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.89%E -4.40%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.08%E -0.655%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.89%E -4.40%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.88%E -1.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 08:24
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.69%E -4.79%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-25 20:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-08-25 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-08-25 23:09
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-25 21:34
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-25 21:04
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-25 22:59
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-25 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-25 22:54
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-08-25 23:09
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%1.8%2026-08-25 23:09
BetOpenly2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%3.4%2026-08-25 23:09