Language:English
New York Mets v Milwaukee Brewers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 35.88%2.79fair odd
EV +4.05%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +2.13%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.76%35.77%36.00%38.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.672.9040.00%37.33%37.45%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)
Prediction 64.12%1.56fair odd
EV -0.611%
Edge -0.394%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.73%64.23%64.00%68.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.481.491.5574.07%67.54%67.11%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 35.88%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 64.12%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.05%E +1.40%K +2.13%G +0.086% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.23%E -7.31%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.05%E +1.40%K +2.13%G +0.086% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.23%E -7.31%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +4.05%E +1.40%K +2.13%G +0.086% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -13.44%E -9.95%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV +2.25%E +0.790%K +1.22%G +0.027% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -10.87%E -7.82%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%EV +1.89%E +0.667%K +1.03%G +0.019% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%EV -3.18%E -2.10%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-27 20:01 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%EV +0.458%E +0.164%K +0.255%G +0.001% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%EV -1.89%E -1.24%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.1% | 2026-08-27 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +0.458%E +0.164%K +0.255%G +0.001% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -4.46%E -2.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-27 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +0.458%E +0.164%K +0.255%G +0.001% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-27 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +0.458%E +0.164%K +0.255%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.23%E -7.31%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%EV -0.259%E -0.093%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%EV -2.53%E -1.67%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-27 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -0.618%E -0.223%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.46%E -2.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-27 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -1.34%E -0.486%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.18%E -2.10%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-27 22:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.34%E -0.486%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.82%E -2.54%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-27 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.34%E -0.486%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.74%E -3.91%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-27 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.34%E -0.486%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.74%E -3.91%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-27 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.34%E -0.486%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.74%E -3.91%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-27 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.34%E -0.486%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.34%E -0.486%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.34%E -0.486%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.34%E -0.486%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -1.69%E -0.618%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -2.53%E -1.67%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-27 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -1.69%E -0.618%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -2.53%E -1.67%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-27 22:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.05%E -0.752%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.53%E -1.67%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-27 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -2.05%E -0.752%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -3.18%E -2.10%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-27 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -2.41%E -0.887%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -1.89%E -1.24%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-27 23:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.82%E -2.54%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-27 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 22:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.13%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-27 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -3.85%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.82%E -2.54%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-27 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -4.21%E -1.58%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -0.611%E -0.394%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-27 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -4.21%E -1.58%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -4.46%E -2.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 23:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -4.56%E -1.72%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -1.89%E -1.24%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-27 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.92%E -1.86%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.82%E -2.54%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-27 20:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.92%E -1.86%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.82%E -2.54%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-27 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.92%E -1.86%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.82%E -2.54%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-27 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.92%E -1.86%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.92%E -1.86%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.74%E -3.91%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.92%E -1.86%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.74%E -3.91%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.92%E -1.86%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.74%E -3.91%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 14:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -4.92%E -1.86%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -8.31%E -5.81%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -5.64%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -9.59%E -6.80%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-27 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -6.00%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -4.46%E -2.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.00%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-27 21:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.72%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.53%E -1.67%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 14:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.72%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.54%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.72%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.54%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.72%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.54%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.72%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.54%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.72%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.54%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 14:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.72%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.72%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.95%E -6.30%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.79%E -3.03%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.18%E -2.10%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.79%E -3.03%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.18%E -2.10%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.51%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.53%E -1.67%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.51%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-27 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.51%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.74%E -3.91%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.51%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.38%E -4.37%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 22:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -10.31%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -0.611%E -0.394%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-27 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.31%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.53%E -1.67%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.31%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.82%E -2.54%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.31%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.82%E -2.54%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.31%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.82%E -2.54%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 0.1% | 2026-08-27 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.31% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.69% | 0.5% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-08-27 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 1.1% | 2026-08-27 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97% | 1.9% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 2.0% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.4% | 2026-08-27 22:50 |