Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

Inizio: 2026-07-31 23:11 UTC

Finale: New York Mets 2–5 Miami Marlins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets (Casa)

Previsione 51.94%1.93quota equa
EV -1.83%
Vantaggio -0.971%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.53%51.98%52.00%53.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.841.851.8956.50%54.33%54.20%52.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.06%2.08quota equa
EV -1.48%
Vantaggio -0.720%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.75%48.02%48.00%49.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.891.981.982.0552.91%50.42%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: New York Mets (Casa): 51.94%; Miami Marlins (Trasferta): 48.06%. Per Miami Marlins (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.08. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.05, con un valore atteso del -1.48%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.83%E -0.971%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 23:04
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.83%E -0.971%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.83%E -0.971%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 23:00
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.83%E -0.971%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 22:59
Everygame🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.83%E -0.971%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 22:19
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.35%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.48%E -0.720%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.35%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.48%E -0.720%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.35%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.96%E -0.959%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.35%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-31 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.35%E -1.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-31 22:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.87%E -1.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.48%E -0.720%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 18:19
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.87%E -1.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.92%E -1.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-31 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.87%E -1.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.84%E -2.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 23:10
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.87%E -1.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 19:30
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.87%E -1.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 18:15
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.87%E -1.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.20%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.40%E -1.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 22:59
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 23:04
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 19:04
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.84%E -2.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 23:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.84%E -2.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.32%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.32%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 23:05
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:39
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:39
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:39
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.43%E -2.41%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.84%E -2.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 20:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.43%E -2.41%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.43%E -2.41%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.43%E -2.41%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 22:39
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 19:59
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 22:54
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.36%E -2.19%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.84%E -2.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 19:04
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.84%E -2.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 19:03
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.84%E -2.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 20:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.84%E -2.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:55
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.84%E -2.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 23:10
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 23:09
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 22:39
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.47%E -3.01%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.47%E -3.01%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.47%E -3.01%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.36%E -2.19%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.99%E -3.31%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.32%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.48%E -0.720%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 19:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 18:19
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 20:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 22:59
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 22:58
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -7.03%E -3.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -9.17%E -4.85%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 22:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.24%E -3.75%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 22:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.88%E -1.94%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 22:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-07-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-31 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-31 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-31 23:09
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-31 18:45
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-31 18:20
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-31 23:10
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-31 23:10
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-07-31 22:15
BetOpenly◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%4.3%2026-07-31 22:50