Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

2026-07-31 23:11 UTC — MLB

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets (Casa)

Previsione 54.27%1.84quota equa
EV -2.32%
Vantaggio -1.29%
Kelly -2.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.66%54.28%54.26%54.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.761.751.8059.52%56.97%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.73%2.19quota equa
EV -1.22%
Vantaggio -0.564%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%45.72%45.74%46.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.992.092.102.1650.25%47.90%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.22%E -0.564%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-30 21:37
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.68%E -0.780%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 19:05
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.13%E -0.997%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 00:19
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.59%E -1.22%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 19:05
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.59%E -1.22%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 19:05
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.68%E -0.780%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 23:20
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.88%E -2.34%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 19:05
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.40%E -1.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 00:59
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.40%E -1.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.33%E -2.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:14
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 19:09
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 19:39
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 20:55
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 23:14
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 19:09
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 19:10
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.05%E -1.44%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 01:05
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.05%E -1.44%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 01:05
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.05%E -1.44%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 01:05
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.05%E -1.44%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 01:05
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.42%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 19:45
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.88%E -2.34%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 19:50
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.33%E -2.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 21:55
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.33%E -2.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 21:55
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 19:05
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 19:14
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:05
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:05
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:05
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:05
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:05
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:04
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.88%E -2.34%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 21:55
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.88%E -2.34%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 23:45
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 19:05
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 19:09
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 01:05
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 21:29
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 01:05
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 01:05
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 01:04
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.42%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 21:30
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.79%E -2.81%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 21:53
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 23:14
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 21:55
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:49
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:50
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 20:05
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.74%E -4.56%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 00:34
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.74%E -4.56%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -8.99%E -4.52%K -9.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-30 23:15
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.83%E -5.26%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-31 01:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 23:05
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 19:05
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-07-31 01:35
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-07-31 01:30
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-07-31 00:25
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%8.3%2026-07-31 01:30