Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

2026-07-31 23:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 54.27%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%54.28%54.26%54.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.761.751.8059.52%56.97%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 45.73%2.19momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.564%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.17%45.72%45.74%46.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.992.092.102.1650.25%47.90%47.62%46.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.22%E -0.564%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-30 21:37
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.68%E -0.780%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 19:05
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.13%E -0.997%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 00:19
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.59%E -1.22%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 19:05
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.32%E -1.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.59%E -1.22%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 19:05
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.68%E -0.780%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 23:20
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.88%E -2.34%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 19:05
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.40%E -1.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 00:59
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.40%E -1.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.33%E -2.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:14
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 19:09
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 19:39
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 20:55
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 23:14
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 19:09
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.95%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 19:10
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.05%E -1.44%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 01:05
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.05%E -1.44%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 01:05
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.05%E -1.44%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 01:05
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.05%E -1.44%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 01:05
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.42%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 19:45
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.88%E -2.34%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 19:50
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.33%E -2.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 21:55
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.33%E -2.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 21:55
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 19:05
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 19:14
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:05
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:05
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:05
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:05
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:05
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:04
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.88%E -2.34%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 21:55
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.88%E -2.34%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 23:45
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 19:05
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 19:09
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 01:05
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 21:29
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 01:05
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 01:05
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 01:04
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.42%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 21:30
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.79%E -2.81%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 21:53
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 23:14
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 21:55
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:49
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:50
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.12%E -3.54%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 20:05
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.74%E -4.56%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 00:34
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.74%E -4.56%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -8.99%E -4.52%K -9.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-30 23:15
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.83%E -5.26%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-31 01:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 23:05
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 19:05
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-07-31 01:35
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-07-31 01:30
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-07-31 00:25
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%8.3%2026-07-31 01:30