Language:English
New York Mets v Los Angeles Dodgers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 41.52%2.41fair odd
EV -0.354%
Edge -0.147%
Kelly -0.253%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%41.64%41.51%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.302.302.4045.45%43.42%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)
Prediction 58.48%1.71fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.36%58.49%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.631.6863.69%61.24%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 41.52%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 58.48%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -0.354%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.354%E -0.147%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.85%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.354%E -0.147%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.85%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-25 13:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.354%E -0.147%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.19%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.769%E -0.322%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.60%E -0.675%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.34%E -1.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-25 23:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-25 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.34%E -1.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-25 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.34%E -1.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-25 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-25 23:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.51%E -2.13%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-25 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.51%E -2.13%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-25 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.51%E -2.13%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.51%E -2.13%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-25 13:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 23:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 22:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.26%E -1.40%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.26%E -1.40%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.26%E -1.40%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-25 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.68%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.68%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.68%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.68%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-25 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.68%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.68%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.51%E -2.13%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.51%E -2.13%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 13:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.51%E -2.13%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 13:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-25 20:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-25 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-25 20:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-25 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-25 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.85%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-25 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.34%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-25 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.34%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-25 21:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.34%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.75%E -2.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.34%E -1.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-25 23:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.75%E -2.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.75%E -2.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.51%E -2.13%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.51%E -2.13%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.51%E -2.13%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 20:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.41%E -3.32%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.60%E -4.81%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-25 23:13 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.34%E -1.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.34%E -1.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.34%E -1.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.51%E -2.13%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-25 23:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.51%E -2.13%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.09%E -2.49%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.09%E -2.49%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18% | -0.0% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-07-25 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-07-25 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-07-25 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 1.2% | 2026-07-25 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 1.2% | 2026-07-25 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 23:10 |
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