A Escola das Odds

New York Mets v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-06-22 23:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 46.30%2.16odd justa
EV +1.39%
Vantagem +0.634%
Kelly +1.17%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.56%46.28%46.15%48.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.062.052.1951.28%48.53%48.78%45.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 53.70%1.86odd justa
EV -0.647%
Vantagem -0.350%
Kelly -0.761%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.95%53.72%53.85%55.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.711.781.791.8558.48%56.05%55.87%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +1.39%E +0.634%K +1.17%G +0.016%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-22 22:27
BetAnything2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV +1.39%E +0.634%K +1.17%G +0.016%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -5.48%E -3.11%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-22 22:29
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.001%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-22 22:09
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.464%E -0.216%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-22 22:09
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.927%E -0.433%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 22:09
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.927%E -0.433%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 22:09
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.39%E -0.653%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.26%E -1.24%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-22 22:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-22 20:59
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 21:59
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 22:09
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 22:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:09
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:10
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.55%E -3.77%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:00
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.17%E -4.78%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 22:09
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.24%E -1.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.647%E -0.350%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-22 22:29
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.71%E -1.78%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:39
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.71%E -1.78%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 20:40
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.71%E -1.78%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.48%E -3.11%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 22:10
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.72%E -0.940%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-22 21:39
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 22:39
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 22:37
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.63%E -2.25%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.80%E -1.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 17:29
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 14:19
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:40
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 14:29
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 14:19
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:39
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:39
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:09
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 20:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 20:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 20:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 22:40
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.09%E -4.10%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 22:09
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.80%E -1.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 21:40
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.80%E -1.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 21:39
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:39
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:39
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:39
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:39
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:40
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:40
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.02%E -2.97%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 17:29
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.02%E -2.97%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 22:09
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.02%E -2.97%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 22:09
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -6.02%E -2.97%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 22:34
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:38
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 21:39
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 21:39
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 21:39
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 21:40
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -0.647%E -0.350%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 07:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 04:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-22 22:39
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.48%E -3.11%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.48%E -3.11%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 21:40
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.72%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 20:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-06-22 22:20
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-06-22 22:20
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-22 22:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-22 21:50
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-06-22 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-06-22 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-06-22 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-06-22 22:30
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%1.5%2026-06-22 22:37
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-06-22 22:30