La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v Chicago Cubs

Inicio: 2026-06-22 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 46.30%2.16momio equitativo
EV +1.39%
Ventaja +0.634%
Kelly +1.17%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.56%46.28%46.15%48.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.062.052.1951.28%48.53%48.78%45.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 53.70%1.86momio equitativo
EV -0.647%
Ventaja -0.350%
Kelly -0.761%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.95%53.72%53.85%55.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.781.791.8558.48%56.05%55.87%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +1.39%E +0.634%K +1.17%G +0.016%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-22 22:27
BetAnything2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV +1.39%E +0.634%K +1.17%G +0.016%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -5.48%E -3.11%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-22 22:29
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.001%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-22 22:09
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.464%E -0.216%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-22 22:09
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.927%E -0.433%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 22:09
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.927%E -0.433%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 22:09
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.39%E -0.653%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.26%E -1.24%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-22 22:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-22 20:59
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 21:59
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 22:09
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 22:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:09
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:10
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.55%E -3.77%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:00
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.78%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.17%E -4.78%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 22:09
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.24%E -1.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.647%E -0.350%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-22 22:29
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.71%E -1.78%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:39
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.71%E -1.78%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 20:40
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.71%E -1.78%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.48%E -3.11%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 22:10
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.72%E -0.940%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-22 21:39
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 22:39
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 22:37
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.63%E -2.25%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.80%E -1.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 17:29
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 14:19
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:40
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 14:29
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 14:19
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:39
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:39
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:09
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 20:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 20:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 20:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 22:40
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.09%E -4.10%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 22:09
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.80%E -1.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 21:40
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.80%E -1.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 21:39
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:39
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:39
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:39
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:39
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:40
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.56%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 21:40
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.02%E -2.97%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 17:29
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.02%E -2.97%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 22:09
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.02%E -2.97%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 22:09
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -6.02%E -2.97%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 22:34
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:38
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 21:39
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 21:39
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 21:39
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 21:40
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.87%E -2.16%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -0.647%E -0.350%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 07:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 04:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.41%E -2.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-22 22:39
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.48%E -3.11%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.48%E -3.11%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 21:40
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.72%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.33%E -1.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 20:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-06-22 22:20
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-06-22 22:20
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-22 22:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-22 21:50
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-06-22 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-06-22 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-06-22 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-06-22 22:30
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%1.5%2026-06-22 22:37
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-06-22 22:30