Language:English
New York Mets v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 51.63%1.94fair odd
EV +0.672%
Edge +0.345%
Kelly +0.707%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.20%51.64%51.58%53.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.861.851.9557.14%53.76%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 48.37%2.07fair odd
EV -0.351%
Edge -0.170%
Kelly -0.331%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%48.36%48.42%50.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.962.0654.64%51.19%51.02%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 51.63%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 48.37%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.672%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV +0.672%E +0.345%K +0.707%G +0.005% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV +0.156%E +0.080%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -9.06%E -4.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV +0.156%E +0.080%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -9.06%E -4.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -0.361%E -0.187%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -7.61%E -3.98%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -0.361%E -0.187%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -7.61%E -3.98%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.361%E -0.187%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.06%E -4.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.361%E -0.187%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.06%E -4.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -0.877%E -0.457%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -2.77%E -1.38%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-16 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -0.877%E -0.457%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-16 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.877%E -0.457%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.57%E -4.54%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.877%E -0.457%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.57%E -4.54%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.877%E -0.457%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.57%E -4.54%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.877%E -0.457%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.57%E -4.54%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.39%E -0.729%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.06%E -4.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -1.39%E -0.729%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -10.51%E -5.68%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -1.91%E -1.00%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-16 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -1.00%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.43%E -1.28%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.80%E -0.888%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -2.43%E -1.28%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -9.54%E -5.10%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.94%E -1.56%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.80%E -0.888%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.94%E -1.56%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.80%E -0.888%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-16 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.94%E -1.56%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-16 23:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 22:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.97%E -2.14%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.351%E -0.170%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.97%E -2.14%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.74%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.97%E -2.14%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.22%E -2.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.97%E -2.14%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.19%E -2.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.22%E -2.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.70%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.70%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.19%E -2.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.19%E -2.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.19%E -2.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.19%E -2.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.61%E -3.98%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.61%E -3.98%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.61%E -3.98%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.48%E -6.27%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.01%E -2.72%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.70%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.52%E -3.02%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.52%E -3.02%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.52%E -3.02%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.52%E -3.02%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.52%E -3.02%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-16 22:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.52%E -3.02%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.61%E -3.98%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.835%E -0.407%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 23:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -7.59%E -4.24%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -7.61%E -3.98%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-16 23:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.10%E -4.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.29%E -1.13%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.10%E -4.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.10%E -4.55%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.65%E -5.52%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 22:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.65%E -5.52%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.25%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -9.65%E -5.52%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -10.03%E -5.39%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-16 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-09-16 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-09-16 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-09-16 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-09-16 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 2.1% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 2.4% | 2026-09-16 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 23:09 |