A Escola das Odds

New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-06-13 00:35 UTC

Final: New York Mets 7–5 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 53.32%1.88odd justa
EV -1.35%
Vantagem -0.731%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.35%53.12%53.25%54.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.791.781.8558.82%56.01%56.18%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 46.68%2.14odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.493%
Kelly -0.933%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.33%46.88%46.75%48.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.882.032.052.1253.19%49.28%48.78%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.35%E -0.731%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 00:29
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.35%E -0.731%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -1.89%E -1.02%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.51%E -4.34%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 00:30
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.51%E -0.717%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-13 00:29
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.98%E -0.942%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.98%E -0.942%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 00:30
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.98%E -0.942%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 00:30
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.98%E -0.942%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 00:30
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -6.18%E -3.07%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 00:29
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 00:29
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 00:30
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.95%E -1.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.05%E -0.493%K -0.933%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 00:29
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.95%E -1.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 00:29
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 00:29
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 00:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 00:29
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 00:29
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.31%E -5.95%K -12.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 00:29
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 00:30
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 00:29
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 00:29
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 00:30
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:29
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:28
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:29
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:29
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:30
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:29
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:29
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:30
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.62%E -3.17%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.98%E -0.942%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 00:30
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.62%E -3.17%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.85%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:29
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.62%E -3.17%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.85%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:29
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.62%E -3.17%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:29
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.15%E -3.49%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 00:30
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.15%E -3.49%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 00:29
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.15%E -3.49%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -6.15%E -3.49%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -12.25%E -6.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-13 00:29
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 00:29
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 00:29
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 00:30
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 00:29
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 00:30
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -8.05%E -4.08%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 00:30
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -7.75%E -4.48%K -10.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -8.51%E -4.34%K -8.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -8.28%E -4.82%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 00:30
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.35%E -5.50%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 00:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-13 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-13 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-13 00:30
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-13 00:30
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-13 00:30
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-06-13 00:30
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-06-13 00:28
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-06-13 00:30
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%4.4%2026-06-13 00:30