L’École des cotes

New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-13 00:35 UTC

Score final : New York Mets 7–5 Atlanta Braves

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 53.32%1.88cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.731%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.35%53.12%53.25%54.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.791.781.8558.82%56.01%56.18%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.68%2.14cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.493%
Kelly -0.933%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.33%46.88%46.75%48.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.032.052.1253.19%49.28%48.78%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.35%E -0.731%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 00:29
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.35%E -0.731%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -1.89%E -1.02%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.51%E -4.34%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 00:30
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.51%E -0.717%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-13 00:29
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.98%E -0.942%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.98%E -0.942%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 00:30
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.98%E -0.942%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 00:30
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.98%E -0.942%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 00:30
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -6.18%E -3.07%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 00:29
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 00:29
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 00:30
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.95%E -1.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.05%E -0.493%K -0.933%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 00:29
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.95%E -1.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 00:29
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 00:29
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 00:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 00:29
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 00:29
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.31%E -5.95%K -12.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 00:29
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 00:30
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 00:29
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 00:29
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 00:30
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:29
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:28
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:29
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:29
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:30
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:29
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:29
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.08%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:30
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.62%E -3.17%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.98%E -0.942%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 00:30
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.62%E -3.17%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.85%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:29
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.62%E -3.17%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.85%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:29
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.62%E -3.17%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:29
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.15%E -3.49%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 00:30
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.15%E -3.49%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 00:29
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.15%E -3.49%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -6.15%E -3.49%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -12.25%E -6.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-13 00:29
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 00:29
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 00:29
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 00:30
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 00:29
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 00:30
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -8.05%E -4.08%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 00:30
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -7.75%E -4.48%K -10.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -8.51%E -4.34%K -8.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -8.28%E -4.82%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 00:30
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.35%E -5.50%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 00:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-13 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-13 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-13 00:30
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-13 00:30
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-13 00:30
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-06-13 00:30
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-06-13 00:28
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-06-13 00:30
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%4.4%2026-06-13 00:30