Language:English
New York Mets v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 57.99%1.72fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.833%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.94%58.00%59.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.7062.50%60.52%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 42.01%2.38fair odd
EV -0.437%
Edge -0.184%
Kelly -0.319%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.95%42.06%42.00%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.272.272.3745.45%43.99%43.96%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 57.99%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 42.01%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.37, with an expected value of -0.437%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.42%E -0.833%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-07 19:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.00%E -1.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.12%E -0.909%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-07 17:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.12%E -0.909%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 19:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.437%E -0.184%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-07 16:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.857%E -0.363%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-07 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.857%E -0.363%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-07 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.38%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 16:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.38%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 19:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 20:07 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 16:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 16:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.16%E -1.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 20:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.74%E -2.25%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.74%E -2.25%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 19:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.74%E -2.25%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.74%E -2.25%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.74%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 19:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.74%E -2.25%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.74%E -3.04%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.74%E -2.25%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 20:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -2.96%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.38%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.38%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 18:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.38%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 16:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.38%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 13:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.38%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.38%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 19:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 19:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 19:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 19:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 16:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 19:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 19:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.32%E -2.62%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 20:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.80%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.64%E -2.04%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.64%E -2.04%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.06%E -2.24%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 19:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.90%E -2.99%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.48%E -3.36%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.28%E -0.543%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 22:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.38%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 19:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.06%E -3.74%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.38%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 16:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-04-07 20:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 20:05 |