The School of Odds

National League v American League

2026-07-15 00:01 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

National League (Local)

Prediction 55.98%1.79fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%56.01%55.98%56.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.731.7560%58%58%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

American League (Visit)

Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.623%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%43.99%44.02%45.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.172.172.2448%46%46%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.40%E -0.623%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-13 05:04
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.28%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-13 05:04
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.28%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-13 05:04
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.03%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.28%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-13 05:04
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-13 06:35
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-13 01:05
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.59%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-13 02:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-13 05:39
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-13 05:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-13 05:49
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.15%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-13 05:49
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-13 05:39
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.71%E -2.16%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-13 05:39
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.04%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 05:02
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 05:39
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-13 01:00
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-13 05:39
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-13 05:39
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.95%E -3.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 00:59
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-13 00:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-13 05:39