Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.00
assuming max odds 1.96
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 50.05%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 49.95%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.998. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.094%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.094%E +0.047%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.09%E -5.60%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 23:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -0.973%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 22:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -0.973%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 00:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.91%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 15:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -2.91%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -7.09%E -3.81%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 21:03 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 21:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 00:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.09%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 12:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 00:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 23:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 15:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 21:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 21:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 21:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 21:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.41%E -2.86%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.41%E -2.86%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.41%E -2.86%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.09%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.09%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 12:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-05-02 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 00:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 00:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13% | 1.8% | 2026-05-02 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87% | 2.3% | 2026-05-02 00:10 |