Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 22:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 2–6 Texas Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 46.55%2.15fair odd
EV -0.853%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.755%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.03%46.39%46.64%47.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1351.28%48.78%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 53.45%1.87fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.602%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.76%53.61%53.36%54.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.94%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 46.55%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 53.45%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.13, with an expected value of -0.853%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.853%E -0.400%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-26 21:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.32%E -0.622%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 21:59
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.78%E -0.845%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.18%E -1.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-26 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.18%E -1.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-26 21:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.18%E -1.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-26 21:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-26 13:00
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 22:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 20:55
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.32%E -2.41%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 21:45
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.39%E -3.05%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 22:04
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.65%E -1.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.11%E -0.602%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-26 21:19
BetAnything🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.65%E -1.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.18%E -1.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-26 21:40
Caesars🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.65%E -1.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 20:44
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.11%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.39%E -3.05%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 21:45
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 21:20
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 07:10
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 12:49
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 12:48
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 14:19
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.39%E -3.05%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 22:00
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.39%E -3.05%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 21:59
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 22:05
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 21:40
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 22:03
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.04%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.25%E -1.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.04%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.25%E -1.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 21:00
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.04%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.25%E -1.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.04%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.25%E -1.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 21:00
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.04%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 21:00
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.04%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.04%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 21:00
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.04%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 21:00
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.04%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.04%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 21:00
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.04%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 21:00
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.04%E -2.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 21:00
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.51%E -2.71%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 20:30
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.51%E -2.71%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 20:30
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.97%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.97%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 12:50
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.32%E -2.41%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 21:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.44%E -3.20%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.79%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 14:53
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.44%E -3.20%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.39%E -3.05%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 21:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.39%E -3.05%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 21:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 21:45
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-26 21:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.15I 46.51%NM 46.12%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88%0.9%2026-09-26 22:00
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-26 20:10
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-26 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-09-26 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-09-26 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-09-26 22:10
Novig◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%1.6%2026-09-26 21:50
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.3%2026-09-26 22:00