Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 00:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 10–2 Texas Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 46.65%2.14fair odd
EV +0.299%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.260%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%46.74%46.72%48.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.022.032.1552.91%49.40%49.26%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 53.35%1.87fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.705%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.44%53.26%53.28%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.801.8558.82%55.65%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 46.65%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 53.35%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.299%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.299%E +0.139%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-25 23:50
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.634%E -0.298%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.90%E -1.60%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-26 00:10
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.10%E -0.519%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-25 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.10%E -0.519%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.44%E -1.90%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-26 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.10%E -0.519%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.44%E -1.90%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-26 00:10
BetUS🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.57%E -0.743%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.90%E -1.60%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-26 00:10
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.03%E -0.968%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.44%E -1.90%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-25 22:54
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.03%E -0.968%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 23:49
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.03%E -0.968%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.77%E -5.13%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 23:55
Bovada🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -2.50%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 00:00
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.97%E -1.43%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.50%E -2.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-25 21:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 22:35
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 21:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 21:05
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 22:55
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 22:30
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 21:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 21:09
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 21:10
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 21:09
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.50%E -2.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 22:14
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 22:30
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 00:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 23:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 23:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 23:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 21:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.83%E -2.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 00:10
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.83%E -2.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 21:40
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.30%E -2.61%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 00:09
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.30%E -2.61%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 00:10
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.77%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.77%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 21:10
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.77%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 21:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.77%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 00:09
Caesars🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.77%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 21:15
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 00:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 19:05
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-25 21:43
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.71%E -4.45%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-25 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.63%E -3.85%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.63%E -3.85%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.17%E -4.12%K -9.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-25 23:47
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.10%E -4.11%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.30%E -0.705%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.10%E -4.11%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.30%E -0.705%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.10%E -4.11%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.30%E -0.705%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.10%E -4.11%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.30%E -0.705%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.30%E -0.705%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 00:10
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.30%E -0.705%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 00:10
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.30%E -0.705%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.30%E -0.705%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.30%E -0.705%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 00:10
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.30%E -0.705%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.03%E -4.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 00:10
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.03%E -4.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-26 00:08
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.03%E -4.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-26 00:08
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -9.50%E -4.90%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -2.90%E -1.60%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -9.50%E -4.90%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -2.90%E -1.60%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -10.43%E -5.43%K -11.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.31%E -5.47%K -13.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-26 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -11.83%E -6.26%K -13.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-26 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-25 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-25 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-25 23:55
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-25 22:55
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-25 23:00
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-09-26 00:10
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%1.5%2026-09-26 00:10
ProphetX◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%1.8%2026-09-26 00:10
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-09-26 00:00
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-09-25 23:50