L’École des cotes

Minnesota Twins v St. Louis Cardinals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-13 00:11 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Twins 9–8 St. Louis Cardinals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prévision 55.29%1.81cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -0.887%
Kelly -2.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.66%55.29%55.26%56.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.731.731.7859.88%57.65%57.80%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.71%2.24cote équitable
EV +0.591%
Avantage +0.263%
Kelly +0.473%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.61%44.71%44.74%46.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.132.122.2548.78%46.98%47.17%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.79%E -2.18%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.591%E +0.263%K +0.473%G +0.003%1.9%2026-06-12 20:29
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.20%E -0.542%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 18:10
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.20%E -0.542%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 12:20
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.64%E -0.747%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-12 23:30
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.64%E -0.747%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.09%E -0.955%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 12:20
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.09%E -0.955%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 12:20
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.09%E -0.955%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 23:10
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.09%E -0.955%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 23:59
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.54%E -1.16%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 22:49
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.79%E -2.18%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.43%E -1.59%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 12:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.24%E -1.85%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-12 12:49
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.79%E -2.18%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 23:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.79%E -2.18%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 20:40
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.79%E -2.18%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 12:50
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.79%E -2.18%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 23:59
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:50
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 11:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 11:39
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 11:40
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 11:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:00
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 11:40
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 11:39
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.66%E -4.59%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 21:49
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 12:50
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -1.58%E -0.887%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-13 00:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:09
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:08
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 12:49
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:40
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 12:49
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 12:48
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.24%E -1.85%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.67%E -2.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 23:30
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 00:00
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 00:00
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 00:00
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 00:00
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 23:59
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 00:00
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.24%E -1.85%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 23:59
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 00:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 15:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 23:50
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 00:00
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 19:09
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 23:55
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 23:50
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.24%E -1.85%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.01%E -3.37%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.24%E -1.85%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.01%E -3.37%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 00:00
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.24%E -1.85%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.01%E -3.37%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 00:00
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.24%E -1.85%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.01%E -3.37%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 23:59
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.90%E -3.84%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 00:00
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-06-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-06-13 00:10
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-06-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-06-12 22:50
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-06-13 00:10
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-12 23:59
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-12 15:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-13 00:10
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-06-13 00:10