La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Twins v St. Louis Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-06-13 00:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 9–8 St. Louis Cardinals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 55.29%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.887%
Kelly -2.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%55.29%55.26%56.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.731.731.7859.88%57.65%57.80%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 44.71%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.591%
Ventaja +0.263%
Kelly +0.473%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.61%44.71%44.74%46.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.132.122.2548.78%46.98%47.17%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.79%E -2.18%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.591%E +0.263%K +0.473%G +0.003%1.9%2026-06-12 20:29
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.20%E -0.542%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 18:10
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.20%E -0.542%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 12:20
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.64%E -0.747%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-12 23:30
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.64%E -0.747%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.09%E -0.955%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 12:20
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.09%E -0.955%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 12:20
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.09%E -0.955%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 23:10
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.09%E -0.955%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 23:59
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.54%E -1.16%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 22:49
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.79%E -2.18%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.43%E -1.59%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 12:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.24%E -1.85%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-12 12:49
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.79%E -2.18%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 23:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.79%E -2.18%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 20:40
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.79%E -2.18%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 12:50
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.79%E -2.18%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 23:59
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:50
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 11:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 11:39
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 11:40
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 11:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:00
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 11:40
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 11:39
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 00:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.66%E -4.59%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 21:49
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 12:50
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -1.58%E -0.887%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-13 00:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:09
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 00:08
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 12:49
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:40
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 12:49
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 12:48
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.24%E -1.85%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.67%E -2.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 23:30
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 00:00
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 00:00
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 00:00
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 00:00
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 23:59
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 00:00
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.24%E -1.85%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 23:59
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 00:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 15:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 23:50
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.90%E -2.85%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 00:00
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.45%E -3.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 19:09
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 23:55
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.12%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 23:50
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.24%E -1.85%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.01%E -3.37%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.24%E -1.85%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.01%E -3.37%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 00:00
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.24%E -1.85%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.01%E -3.37%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 00:00
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.24%E -1.85%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.01%E -3.37%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 23:59
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.90%E -3.84%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 00:00
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-06-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-06-13 00:10
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-06-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-06-12 22:50
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-06-13 00:10
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-12 23:59
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-12 15:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-13 00:10
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-06-13 00:10
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-06-13 00:10