默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins v New York Yankees

开赛时间： 2026-09-14 23:41 UTC

最终结果： Minnesota Twins 3–8 New York Yankees

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

46%

54%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins (主队)

预测 46.19%2.16公平赔率

EV -0.690%

优势 -0.321%

Kelly -0.600%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布

44.30%46.19%46.25%47.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.962.072.082.1551.02%48.29%48.08%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Yankees (客队)

预测 53.81%1.86公平赔率

EV -1.53%

优势 -0.835%

Kelly -1.84%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布

52.22%53.81%53.75%55.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.671.771.761.8359.88%56.65%56.82%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Minnesota Twins (主队)：46.19%；New York Yankees (客队)：53.81%。对于“Minnesota Twins (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.16。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.15，期望值为-0.690%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Everygame🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.690%E -0.321%K -0.600%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-14 22:22
Fliff🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.690%E -0.321%K -0.600%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.99%E -4.67%K -11.25%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 20:39
GTbets🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.08%E -0.979%K -1.85%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.07%E -1.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-14 23:39
Pinnacle🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.08%E -0.979%K -1.85%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.07%E -1.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-14 23:30
FanDuel🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.08%E -0.979%K -1.85%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-14 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.54%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.07%E -1.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-14 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯	2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.54%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.07%E -1.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-14 23:40
1xBet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.53%E -0.835%K -1.84%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-14 23:10
BetUS🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.53%E -0.835%K -1.84%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-14 23:39
Fanatics🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-14 23:40
Caesars🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-14 22:28
ReBet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-14 20:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-14 22:10
Casumo🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-14 23:00
Unibet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-14 23:00
BetRivers🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-14 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-14 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-14 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-14 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-14 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-14 23:00
Bally Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-14 23:00
betPARX🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-14 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-14 20:39
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 22:20
William Hill🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 21:29
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.18%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-14 20:55
BetAnything🎯	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.60%E -1.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-09-14 22:25
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.68%E -2.06%K -4.66%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-14 23:05
Bovada🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-14 22:55
Bet Right🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-14 22:20
TABtouch🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-14 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-14 23:20
SportsBet🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.61%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-14 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -4.39%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-14 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -4.39%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-14 23:00
DraftKings🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -4.85%E -2.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-14 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 19:45
Coral🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 23:40
TAB🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 15:35
BetMGM🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 22:25
betfred_uk🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 20:55
PlayUp🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-14 20:39
Paddy Power🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-14 21:14
BoyleSports🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-14 20:50
LeoVegas🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.45%E -4.33%K -10.34%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-14 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.55%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-14 23:05
Betsson🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.23%E -3.07%K -6.05%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 20:45
NordicBet🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.23%E -3.07%K -6.05%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.70%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-14 22:25
Neds🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.70%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-14 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -6.70%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.99%E -4.67%K -11.25%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-14 23:11
Grosvenor🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.70%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -9.60%E -5.71%K -14.12%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-09-14 23:00
theScore Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.53%E -0.835%K -1.84%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-14 22:45
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-14 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-14 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-14 23:40
Bet Victor🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-14 23:30
betano_uk🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-14 23:29
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 46.01%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -10.14%E -6.07%K -15.13%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-09-14 23:25

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
ProphetX◎	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89%	1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11%	0.4%	2026-09-14 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%	1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%	0.6%	2026-09-14 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%	1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%	0.6%	2026-09-14 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%	1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%	0.6%	2026-09-14 23:00
Kalshi◎	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%	1.0%	2026-09-14 15:00
Polymarket◎	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%	1.0%	2026-09-14 15:20
Novig◎	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%	1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%	1.2%	2026-09-14 23:40
Matchbook◎	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%	1.4%	2026-09-14 23:40
BetOpenly◎	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%	1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%	1.4%	2026-09-14 23:39
Smarkets◎	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%	2.4%	2026-09-14 23:40

Minnesota Twins v New York Yankees

胜负盘

Minnesota Twins (主队)

New York Yankees (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)