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Minnesota Twins v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-09-14 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 3–8 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 46.19%2.16odd justa
EV -0.690%
Vantagem -0.321%
Kelly -0.600%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%46.19%46.25%47.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.962.072.082.1551.02%48.29%48.08%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 53.81%1.86odd justa
EV -1.53%
Vantagem -0.835%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.22%53.81%53.75%55.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.771.761.8359.88%56.65%56.82%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 46.19%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 53.81%. Para Minnesota Twins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.16. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.15, com valor esperado de -0.690%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.690%E -0.321%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-14 22:22
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.690%E -0.321%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.99%E -4.67%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 20:39
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.08%E -0.979%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.07%E -1.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-14 23:39
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.08%E -0.979%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.07%E -1.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-14 23:30
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.08%E -0.979%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.54%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.07%E -1.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-14 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.54%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.07%E -1.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-14 23:40
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.53%E -0.835%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-14 23:10
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.53%E -0.835%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-14 23:39
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 23:40
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 22:28
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 20:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 22:10
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 23:00
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 23:00
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 23:00
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 23:00
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 20:39
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 22:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 21:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 20:55
BetAnything🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.60%E -1.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 22:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.68%E -2.06%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 23:05
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 22:55
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 22:20
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 23:20
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -4.39%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -4.39%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 23:00
DraftKings🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -4.85%E -2.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 19:45
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 23:40
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 15:35
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:25
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 20:55
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 20:39
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 21:14
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 20:50
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.45%E -4.33%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 23:05
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.23%E -3.07%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 20:45
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.23%E -3.07%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.70%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 22:25
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.70%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -6.70%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.99%E -4.67%K -11.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 23:11
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.70%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -9.60%E -5.71%K -14.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 23:00
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.53%E -0.835%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 22:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 23:40
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 23:30
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 23:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.01%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -10.14%E -6.07%K -15.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 23:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11%0.4%2026-09-14 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-14 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-14 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-14 23:00
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-14 15:00
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-14 15:20
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-09-14 23:40
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-09-14 23:40
BetOpenly◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-09-14 23:39
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.4%2026-09-14 23:40