Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 18:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 5–4 Milwaukee Brewers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 44.73%2.24fair odd
EV +0.638%
Edge +0.284%
Kelly +0.511%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.75%44.86%44.76%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.122.2550.00%46.93%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 55.27%1.81fair odd
EV -0.511%
Edge -0.284%
Kelly -0.638%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.14%55.24%57.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.721.721.8060.24%58.05%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 44.73%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 55.27%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.638%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.638%E +0.284%K +0.511%G +0.003%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-17 16:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +0.638%E +0.284%K +0.511%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 15:35
Everygame🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.256%E -0.115%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.703%E -0.317%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 16:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.703%E -0.317%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 16:05
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.15%E -0.521%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.72%E -1.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 18:09
BetUS🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.15%E -0.521%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:00
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.60%E -0.726%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 18:09
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.05%E -0.934%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.17%E -1.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 17:19
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:05
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.39%E -1.57%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 18:10
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 15:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 15:24
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:25
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:30
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 15:30
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 18:09
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:55
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 15:24
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:45
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 15:29
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:30
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 18:00
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:05
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:05
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:25
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:25
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:10
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:10
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:10
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -0.511%E -0.284%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 15:29
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.17%E -1.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 18:09
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.49%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.97%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.97%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.97%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.97%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 18:10
DraftKings🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -7.41%E -3.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -1.62%E -0.908%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 15:30
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.41%E -3.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 18:10
LeoVegas🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -7.86%E -3.82%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.86%EV -8.75%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -8.25%E -4.97%K -12.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 18:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.511%E -0.284%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 02:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56%0.0%2026-05-17 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%0.2%2026-05-17 18:10
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33%0.4%2026-05-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-05-17 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-05-17 18:05
Novig2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%1.8%2026-05-17 18:10
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-05-17 18:10
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-05-17 18:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-17 18:05
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-17 18:10