L’École des cotes

Minnesota Twins v Los Angeles Angels

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 00:11 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Twins 3–4 Los Angeles Angels

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prévision 58.77%1.70cote équitable
EV +1.09%
Avantage +0.631%
Kelly +1.51%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.19%58.57%58.75%59.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.651.651.7264.52%60.78%60.61%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.23%2.43cote équitable
EV -0.637%
Avantage -0.264%
Kelly -0.452%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.05%41.43%41.25%43.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.142.282.302.4146.73%43.87%43.48%41.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV +1.09%E +0.631%K +1.51%G +0.016%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -8.06%E -3.61%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 00:09
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 00:09
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 00:09
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 00:09
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 00:09
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 00:09
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 00:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.678%E -0.401%K -0.982%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.23%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 18:15
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.27%E -0.753%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:34
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.27%E -0.753%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 00:09
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.27%E -0.753%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 00:09
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.27%E -0.753%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 00:09
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.27%E -0.753%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 00:09
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.87%E -0.787%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 23:59
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.23%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 23:54
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 15:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 16:14
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.44%E -1.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 23:59
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -2.44%E -1.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -11.77%E -5.50%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 00:09
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -0.637%E -0.264%K -0.452%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 22:05
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.46%E -0.612%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 22:05
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.46%E -0.612%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 22:05
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.87%E -0.787%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 22:25
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.29%E -0.965%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-10 23:54
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-10 21:45
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.76%E -2.06%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 22:15
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 23:19
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 16:59
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.62%E -2.21%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.35%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:29
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.62%E -2.21%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.23%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.62%E -2.21%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.23%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 21:44
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 21:45
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:29
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:30
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.58%E -2.44%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 22:29
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 23:29
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.41%E -2.82%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:30
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.41%E -2.82%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -11.77%E -5.50%K -10.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 23:43
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 21:43
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 21:44
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.52%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 00:04
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.52%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 23:59
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 23:59
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:10
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:10
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:24
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:29
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.29%E -0.965%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.29%E -0.965%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 21:45
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.87%E -0.787%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 00:09
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 23:59
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.23%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 00:09
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.73%E -4.92%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 00:09
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 00:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-07-11 00:04
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-10 23:05
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-07-11 00:08
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-10 22:45
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-11 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-10 22:05
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-10 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-07-11 00:00
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-07-11 00:04