La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Twins v Los Angeles Angels

Inicio: 2026-07-11 00:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 3–4 Los Angeles Angels

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 58.77%1.70momio equitativo
EV +1.09%
Ventaja +0.631%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.19%58.57%58.75%59.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.651.651.7264.52%60.78%60.61%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Predicción 41.23%2.43momio equitativo
EV -0.637%
Ventaja -0.264%
Kelly -0.452%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.05%41.43%41.25%43.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.142.282.302.4146.73%43.87%43.48%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV +1.09%E +0.631%K +1.51%G +0.016%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -8.06%E -3.61%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 00:09
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 00:09
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 00:09
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 00:09
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 00:09
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 00:09
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -0.090%E -0.053%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 00:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.678%E -0.401%K -0.982%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.23%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 18:15
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.27%E -0.753%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:34
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.27%E -0.753%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 00:09
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.27%E -0.753%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 00:09
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.27%E -0.753%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 00:09
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.27%E -0.753%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.12%E -4.64%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 00:09
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.87%E -0.787%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 23:59
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.23%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 23:54
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 15:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 16:14
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.44%E -1.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 23:59
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -2.44%E -1.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -11.77%E -5.50%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 00:09
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -0.637%E -0.264%K -0.452%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 22:05
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.46%E -0.612%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 22:05
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.46%E -0.612%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 22:05
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.87%E -0.787%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 22:25
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.29%E -0.965%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-10 23:54
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-10 21:45
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.76%E -2.06%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 22:15
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 23:19
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.03%E -1.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 16:59
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.62%E -2.21%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.35%E -1.87%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:29
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.62%E -2.21%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.23%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.62%E -2.21%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.23%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 21:44
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 21:45
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:29
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:30
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.58%E -2.44%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 22:29
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 23:29
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.41%E -2.82%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:30
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.41%E -2.82%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -11.77%E -5.50%K -10.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 23:43
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 21:43
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 21:44
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.52%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 00:04
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.52%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 23:59
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 23:59
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:10
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:10
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:24
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:29
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.29%E -0.965%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.38%E -3.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.29%E -0.965%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 21:45
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.87%E -0.787%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 00:09
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 23:59
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.97%E -3.73%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.23%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 00:09
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.73%E -4.92%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 00:09
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.91%E -5.75%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.17%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 00:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-07-11 00:04
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-10 23:05
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-07-11 00:08
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-10 22:45
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-11 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-10 22:05
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-10 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-07-11 00:00
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-07-11 00:04