A Escola das Odds

Minnesota Twins v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-05-19 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 1–2 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 55.52%1.80odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.661%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.23%55.68%55.56%57.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.711.711.7860.61%58.42%58.48%56.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 44.48%2.25odd justa
EV +1.42%
Vantagem +0.621%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.67%44.32%44.44%45.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.172.152.2848.78%46.08%46.51%43.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -5.62%E -3.30%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV +1.42%E +0.621%K +1.11%G +0.016%2.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.73%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +0.082%E +0.037%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.73%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +0.082%E +0.037%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.84%E -4.72%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.84%E -4.72%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:39
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.84%E -4.72%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:39
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.84%E -4.72%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:39
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.29%E -1.30%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.25%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 23:29
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.84%E -1.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.70%E -0.768%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.73%E -0.978%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.14%E -0.974%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 23:39
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.14%E -0.974%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 20:30
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.14%E -0.974%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.39%E -5.09%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.14%E -0.974%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 21:10
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.18%E -0.661%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.59%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-19 23:29
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.18%E -0.661%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-19 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.73%E -0.978%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.73%E -0.978%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.73%E -0.978%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 23:29
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.84%E -1.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 23:39
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.84%E -1.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 23:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.40%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 23:29
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.40%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 23:35
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:29
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:29
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:29
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:29
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:28
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:38
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.62%E -3.30%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:39
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.17%E -3.65%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 21:20
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.17%E -3.65%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.40%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 23:39
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.40%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.26%E -2.47%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 23:30
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.26%E -2.47%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 23:39
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:29
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:29
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:29
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.15%E -2.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 23:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 23:19
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 23:29
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.62%E -3.30%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 23:38
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.62%E -3.30%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 23:29
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.73%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 23:29
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.73%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 23:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44%0.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.84%2.21I 45.25%NM 45.16%0.2%2026-05-19 23:39
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-19 23:39
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-19 21:40
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-05-19 23:39