L’École des cotes

Minnesota Twins v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 23:41 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Twins 1–2 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prévision 55.52%1.80cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.661%
Kelly -1.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.23%55.68%55.56%57.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.711.711.7860.61%58.42%58.48%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.48%2.25cote équitable
EV +1.42%
Avantage +0.621%
Kelly +1.11%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.67%44.32%44.44%45.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.172.152.2848.78%46.08%46.51%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -5.62%E -3.30%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV +1.42%E +0.621%K +1.11%G +0.016%2.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.73%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +0.082%E +0.037%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.73%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +0.082%E +0.037%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.28%E -4.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.84%E -4.72%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.84%E -4.72%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:39
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.84%E -4.72%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:39
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.84%E -4.72%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.807%E -0.362%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:39
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.29%E -1.30%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.25%E -0.564%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 23:29
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.84%E -1.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.70%E -0.768%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.73%E -0.978%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.14%E -0.974%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 23:39
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.14%E -0.974%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 20:30
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.14%E -0.974%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 23:29
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.39%E -5.09%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.14%E -0.974%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 21:10
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.18%E -0.661%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.59%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-19 23:29
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.18%E -0.661%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-19 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.73%E -0.978%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.73%E -0.978%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.73%E -0.978%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 23:29
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.84%E -1.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 23:39
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.84%E -1.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 23:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.40%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 23:29
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.40%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 23:35
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:29
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:29
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:29
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:29
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:28
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.06%E -2.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:38
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.62%E -3.30%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:39
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.17%E -3.65%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 21:20
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.17%E -3.65%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.40%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 23:39
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.40%E -1.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.26%E -2.47%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 23:30
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.26%E -2.47%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 23:39
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:29
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:29
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:29
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.15%E -2.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 23:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 23:19
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.51%E -2.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 23:29
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.62%E -3.30%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 23:38
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.62%E -3.30%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 23:29
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.73%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 23:29
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.73%E -4.00%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.95%E -2.28%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 23:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44%0.0%2026-05-19 23:39
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.84%2.21I 45.25%NM 45.16%0.2%2026-05-19 23:39
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-19 23:39
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-19 21:40
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-05-19 23:39