Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-09-01 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 15–2 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 50.75%1.97odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.800%
Kelly -1.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.33%50.71%50.73%53.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.861.871.9458.14%53.63%53.48%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 49.25%2.03odd justa
EV +1.46%
Vantagem +0.710%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.56%49.29%49.27%50.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.961.942.0654.05%51.14%51.55%48.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 50.75%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 49.25%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.03. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.06, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.46%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -8.66%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +1.46%E +0.710%K +1.38%G +0.020%4.1%2026-09-01 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -8.66%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +1.46%E +0.710%K +1.38%G +0.020%4.1%2026-09-01 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -8.66%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +1.46%E +0.710%K +1.38%G +0.020%4.1%2026-09-01 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -8.66%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +1.46%E +0.710%K +1.38%G +0.020%4.1%2026-09-01 23:40
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -9.16%E -5.12%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV +0.970%E +0.473%K +0.923%G +0.009%4.6%2026-09-01 23:40
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -9.16%E -5.12%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV +0.970%E +0.473%K +0.923%G +0.009%4.6%2026-09-01 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -9.16%E -5.12%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV +0.970%E +0.473%K +0.923%G +0.009%4.6%2026-09-01 23:40
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -9.16%E -5.12%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV +0.970%E +0.473%K +0.923%G +0.009%4.6%2026-09-01 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -9.16%E -5.12%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV +0.970%E +0.473%K +0.923%G +0.009%4.6%2026-09-01 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -9.16%E -5.12%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV +0.970%E +0.473%K +0.923%G +0.009%4.6%2026-09-01 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -9.67%E -5.43%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +0.477%E +0.234%K +0.459%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-01 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.60%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.015%E -0.008%K -0.015%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-01 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.60%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.015%E -0.008%K -0.015%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-01 23:40
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.60%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.015%E -0.008%K -0.015%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-01 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.508%E -0.251%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-01 23:15
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.508%E -0.251%K -0.498%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-01 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.69%E -6.07%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.508%E -0.251%K -0.498%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.69%E -6.07%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.508%E -0.251%K -0.498%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 23:40
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.49%E -0.747%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-01 23:19
Everygame🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.99%E -0.998%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 16:44
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 19:23
theScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.58%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 19:50
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -12.72%E -7.39%K -17.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 23:40
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.58%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 18:04
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 20:00
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:05
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:25
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.45%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.45%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.60%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.45%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:30
Betsson🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.45%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.45%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:05
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.45%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.45%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.02%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.45%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.60%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:30
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.60%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.60%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -1.55%E -0.800%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 14:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 19:04
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.09%E -2.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 23:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:30
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 16:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 23:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 23:40
ReBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 23:40
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:30
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 21:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.13%E -3.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 23:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -3.58%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -8.39%E -4.51%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.58%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 23:29
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.58%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 23:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-09-01 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-09-01 23:35
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-01 21:45
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-01 23:40
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.3%2026-09-01 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-09-01 23:39
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-09-01 23:00
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%2.3%2026-09-01 23:40