Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Detroit Tigers

2026-09-01 23:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 47.87%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.913%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%47.98%47.80%49.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.881.981.982.0553.19%50.51%50.51%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 52.13%1.92momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.778%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.53%52.02%52.20%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.741.841.841.8957.47%54.40%54.35%52.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Minnesota Twins (Local): 47.87%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 52.13%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.92. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.89, con un valor esperado de -1.47%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.87%E -0.913%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-31 23:59
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.87%E -0.913%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-31 19:14
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.87%E -0.913%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-31 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.87%E -0.913%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-31 19:05
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.87%E -0.913%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 03:10
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.87%E -0.913%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-31 23:59
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.87%E -0.913%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 03:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-31 19:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-31 19:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 03:04
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 03:00
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 02:24
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 19:14
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 19:15
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 19:14
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 19:29
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 23:45
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 02:10
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 00:35
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 03:30
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 18:24
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 02:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.74%E -2.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 23:50
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 03:00
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.08%E -2.22%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 19:15
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 19:14
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 19:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.70%E -2.89%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.64%E -3.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -1.47%E -0.778%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 03:05
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 01:40
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 03:00
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:40
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:40
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:40
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 03:30
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 19:14
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 01:50
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.14%E -3.68%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 03:00
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.14%E -3.68%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.62%E -3.95%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.62%E -3.95%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.09%E -4.22%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 03:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.73%E -4.36%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 23:44
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -10.01%E -5.32%K -11.37%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -6.68%E -3.73%K -8.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -10.01%E -5.32%K -11.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 19:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%0.3%2026-09-01 03:40
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%0.9%2026-09-01 03:40
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-31 21:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-01 03:10
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-09-01 03:05
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%8.8%2026-09-01 04:05